Wednesday, November 08, 2017

Bulls LOSE 69-101 behind Westbrook hustle, triple-double (1-4; 77)

Thunder batters Bulls 101-69 behind Westbrook hustle, triple-double | News OK
CHICAGO — In the Thunder's 101-69 blowout of the Bulls on Saturday, the Thunder didn't look like it was coming off the second night of a back-to-back or a turbulent plane ride that ended with the nose of its Boeing 757 caved in. The Thunder looked whole against a patchwork one-win Bulls squad. The Thunder had just two wins to its name entering the United Center, but was positively dominant against Chicago a night after getting battered on the boards and out-hustled in Minnesota.

Russell Westbrook would have none of that.
....He proceed to spank the Bulls with a triple double....

....and Chicago quit fighting back.
Westbrook's latest stroke of history was a piece of the larger picture as the Thunder finds its footing. After he helped stretch the Thunder's lead from 10 to 19 in less than three minutes in the second quarter, the United Center crowd gasped as Westbrook set the permanent tone, skying over Chicago's front court for an offensive rebound.
The Bulls really did quit trying.
In the same quarter, Westbrook immediately knew his second free throw attempt was short, so he sprinted up the lane to beat the Bulls to the ball.

Many of the Bulls are young and likely to not have long careers.  Chicago is rebuilding with a roster designed to compete hard but lacking the talent and experience to win.

If you're a guy on this team playing at home and quit; stop hustling, when a made man, a guy with a massive 200M contract is out working you ... what are you doing in the NBA?

There's a line of guys ready to step in ASAP.  Time to go home.

Hawks lose to Bulls, fall to 1-4; Bull notch first win (1-3; 78)

Atlanta news saw this as a battle of losers.  The Bulls win their first game while both team's rookies continue to impress.

Hawks lose to Bulls, fall to 1-4
CHICAGO — In a matchup of two teams more concerned at the moment with lottery balls than the wins column, the Hawks (1-4) came out on the losing end, falling to the Bulls 91-86 Thursday night.
For a pair of teams that have emphasized ball movement over individual scoring, it wasn’t a pretty offensive affair. Both teams finished the night shooting under 40 percent from the field — Atlanta shot 39.3 percent while Chicago shot 36.5 percent.

Hawks' Rookie big man John Collins scored 13 points, his third consecutive game scoring in double figures.
Bull's Lauri Markkanen sealed the win with a three-pointer with 48 seconds remaining on his way to 14 points and 13 rebounds.
In Cleveland Lauri emerged.  Tonight Lauri showed he can take and make the big shot -- even when having an off shooting night.

Cavs comeback from double digit deficit to beat Bulls 119-112 (0-3); 79

LeBron saved the Cavs. at home.  The Bulls played well; looked good.

Lauri Markkanen impressed LeBron James.

RECAP | Cleveland Cavaliers complete double-digit comeback, beat Chicago Bulls 119-112 | WKYC.com
CLEVELAND - Despite falling behind by double-digits in the first quarter, the Cleveland Cavaliers completed a second-half comeback over the Chicago Bulls, picking up a 119-112 victory to advance to 3-1 on the season on Tuesday night.

"Very confident," James said of Markkanen. "Watched him a lot at Arizona. Watched him a lot. He wore my shoe a couple times ... he wore my retro Brons a couple times. I like that. I had to stay up very late to watch those Arizona games. A very confident kid, shoot the heck out of the ball. He's going to continue to get better. The best thing about it is he's getting an opportunity. If he makes mistakes, he can learn on the fly, but he's going to play a lot. He's good. It seems like he's learning. He's a good player."

This is the game we learned Larui Markkanen is for real.  He's skilled, confident and respected.

Sunday, October 22, 2017

Spurs outlast Bulls 87-77 in Bulls first home game and Spurs first road game of the year (0-2;80)


 It wasn't always pretty, but the Spurs win.
The [Spurs] team shot just 40.9 percent from the field and was 1 of 12 on 3-point shooting, but had 52 rebounds and made plays off of Chicago's 20 turnovers. 

...and...
Aside from the five-time All-Star, the Spurs struggled to get anyone going on offense, at least in the first half. The team failed to hit a 3-pointer, sticking to paint work and mid-range shots. Much of this didn’t work, either. Chicago wasn’t playing great and the Spurs still got off shots, but nothing fell.

On the Bulls side, Lauri Markkanen looked impressive. He gave Pau Gasol fits throughout the night, using his fresher legs to get around the 37-year-old and find his way to the rim. It’s a problem for not just Saturday night but the rest of the season. Once the Spurs start facing teams that consistently roll out smaller, more athletic lineups, Gasol will struggle to find the court.
Markkanen made an impression.  

Friday, October 20, 2017

Season opener and practice fight: 117-100 Raptors’ victory over the depleted Chicago Bulls on Thursday. (0-1; 81)

Not much about the Bulls in the Toronto Star game article.  The Raptor's bench creamed the Bulls reserves.  With LaVine, Dunn, Portis and Mitoriç out, three of the Bulls 2nd unit squad started and they played the Raptors close (20-22).  Then the back of the bench played; and played poorly (2-20).

Valanciunas scores 23, Miles has 22 in Raptors win over Bulls - Sportsnet.ca
The 30-year-old Miles was acquired in the off-season to boost Toronto’s three-point shooting, but has found another role as the veteran voice of the Raptors’ young second unit. They provided the turning point Thursday night. Clutching a 22-20 lead late in the first quarter, Casey subbed out his entire starting lineup.
Miles orchestrated a 20-2 run by the young guns — Wright, Jakob Poeltl, Fred VanVleet and rookie OG Anunoby. And when they finally took a seat, to much applause from the starters, they’d given the Raptors a 20-point cushion.
"As a unit we need every single person on this roster to be ready," Miles said. "And for us to be able to go in there as a whole five and have success, for those guys, that’s big for them, early in the year and early in their careers to be able to gain confidence.

Positive are:

  1. The fact the team lost by about 20; never collapsed. 
  2. Hoiberg learned that line-up which lost 2-20 to the Raptor's bench should not be seen again. 
  3. Bulls found a better backup PG in Felder who played aggressive.
  4. Pondexter played for the 1st time in 2 years.


Toronto's take on the Bulls practice fight.  They're not as surprised or taken back by the altercation. hmmm...
Intramural fights nothing new in NBA | Toronto Star

“We had some doozies in Seattle, I’ll tell you that,” Raptors coach Dwane Casey recalled. “We had some fisticuffs. One that started on the court and went in the weight room and went outside, came back in. It was a long one. I’ve seen those.”
Casey wouldn’t name the participants in that specific brouhaha — he was an assistant coach on a team that employed the volatile Gary Payton so take that as you will — because teams like to keep those sorts of things in-house.
“I’ve seen a few, you keep that in house,” Toronto guard Kyle Lowry said.

Monday, October 09, 2017

108-95 Bulls lose at home.


Bulls lose to the Pelicans. The game was a reminder of how many FTs opponents shoot. It's been lopsided and tonight FTs were a reason the Bulls lost by such a large margin. Also, with Rondo out, Holiday was a major factor in the Pelican's improved defense.

The Bulls could not stop the NO twin towers and fouls gave Davis 22 straight points at the FT line.

Anthony Davis scores 37 in Pelicans' preseason win over the Bulls | NOLA.com
The Pelicans offense struggled to start Sunday night, turning the ball over eight times in the first quarter. But Davis and Cousins took over on the offensive end and helped New Orleans take a seven-point lead going into halftime. Davis was living at the free-throw line for most of the night and he made 22 consecutive free throws in the first three quarters.
Davis and Cousins were dominant, but the Pelicans only shot 42 percent from the field as a team. The Pelicans held Chicago to 38.1 percent shooting from the field, including only 26.8 percent from the 3-point line. .
..The Pelicans turned the ball over 21 times, allowing the Bulls to score 28 points off those mistakes...
The Bulls made 16 3-pointers in their victory over the Pelicans on Tuesday, but many of those 3-pointers came off of drive-and-kick opportunities. The Pelicans worked to eliminate driving lanes for the Chicago guards and did a better job forcing them to make plays from the perimeter.
IMHO FTs were a BFD.  Davis made 22 consecutive FTs and 22/23.   Valentine has a great 3pt shot (so far) but it will not go in every game.  If the shot wasn't falling, Jordan and Pippen would drive to the basket, draw fouls and kick start their game.

A cold shooting Bulls team needs to find someway to get players to make some easy baskets and one way is shooting a FT. 

Saturday, October 07, 2017

Bulls 114, Bucks101 "We in the past have had trouble with is playing teams that might not have an all-star,"

Chicago wins but lost Kris Dunn to an open dislocation.

Milwaukee's newspaper sez:

Bulls 114, Bucks 101: Giannis Antetokounmpo makes emphatic return in loss
Antetokounmpo turned that excitement into a performance in which he appeared to be in midseason form as he scored 24 points, grabbed four rebounds and dished two assists in nearly 23 minutes.

Outside of Antetokounmpo's noteworthy debut, the main takeaway from the Bucks' effort was their issues on the defensive end. The Bulls found consistent open looks, especially from long range, and made the Bucks pay. Chicago lived behind the three-point line, going 17 of 34 from long range, with Holiday scoring 21 points on 5-of-7 shooting from distance and Denzel Valentine adding 15 points all on three-pointers (5 of 6).

Kidd said. "We can’t play to the level of our competition in the sense that we’re waiting and thinking we’re just going to turn it on. Tonight they got a lot of great open threes and we just didn’t come out and respect them.” 

To put Kidd's "all-star" remark in perspective, his Bucks finished '16-'17 with a 42-40 record.

Wednesday, October 04, 2017

What started with a bang, ended with a whimper. Bulls win 113-109

From the Pelican's perspective it was a game they lost, possibly due to fatigue.

New Orleans Pelicans run out of gas against the Chicago Bulls, fall 113-109 - The Bird Writes
Despite the narrow final score, the New Orleans Pelicans opening preseason game against the Chicago Bulls was a tale of extremes.
After the first twelve minutes of play, the Pelicans had totaled more points (46) than in any quarter of any regular season game last season. But just as easily as the offense was flowing, that well dried up quickly after halftime. An early second quarter 17-point lead morphed into a 1-point deficit near the middle of the third quarter.
After combining for 11-17 field goals in the first half, the [Pelican's] superstar duo made just 1-9 in the second.
Despite forcing 14 turnovers, the Pelicans managed to turn them into three meager points. And on this unusual night, New Orleans totaled two paltry fast break points.
[P]erhaps a significant reason the second half was such a grind for the Pelicans starters was the toll of heavy minutes. Everyone but Dante Cunningham surpassed 30 minutes
Cousins ... doesn’t believe he’s ever played this many minutes in a preseason game before in his career — yet he understood the reasoning.
“Defensively, our transition defense wasn’t very good,” said Alvin Gentry. “
[T]he Bulls repeatedly enjoyed great looks and made the Pelicans pay dearly from the three-point line, making 16 of their 35 shot attempts.
Eight different Bulls players reached double digits in scoring, with reserve Cristiano Felicio leading the way with 15 points.

It's hard to generalize off one game. Clearly Hoiberg's frequent substitutions gassed the Pelican's starters. Surprises include the Bulls 3rd Q turn around and hanging on to win a close game.

Yes it's preseason but this Bulls team is heavily scrutinized and Hoiberg in particular.  I thought he did very well in game one.  Coach played most of the roster and gave minutes to productive players.  At the game's end he kept in the quick Antonio Blakeney and used defensive athlete David Nwaba and PG Ryan Arcidiacono.  I feel both Grant and Dunn still get nerves under pressure.  Ryan is less physically gifted, but knows his limitations and seems more confident and "clutch".  Late addition Jarell Eddie hitting a last minute shot to put the game away was unexpected.  I thought he force this role on Valentine.  Instead Hoiberg doled out minutes and got the win.

Sunday, October 01, 2017

Sustainable

John Paxson via The Chicago Suntimes Justin Holiday and his Bulls teammates are 'here to win games' | Chicago Sun-Times
‘‘I’ll say this: I’ve never met a coach or a player that steps foot on the floor to lose a game,’’ Paxson said. ‘‘They don’t, and they shouldn’t. Yes, we are rebuilding. We understand and acknowledge that there are going to be some tough times.
‘‘This culture and environment of working hard, putting the time in, that’s what is sustainable. We’re not here to create a culture of losing. We’re here to build a culture of things that are sustainable.’’
It's happy time now and talk is cheap. Players are dedicated to the team and getting better.
Well it's Oct.

This team will lose and in streaks. They will lose blow outs and close games. If they are following Paxon's guidelines it will hurt and we will judge.
  • We will scrutinize Hoiberg's in game adjustments (or lack of) late minute substitutions and play calling. 
  • Dunn, Markkanen and LaVine's progress will be valued against the all-star production traded to bring them here.  
  • As first round picks Portis, Mototiç and Valentine have opportunity costs, comparable to successful players taken behind them. Each have to define a significant role within this team while the team racks up losses.
There will be questions:
  • How committed are players to rebuilding within Hoiberg's system come mid-January ?
  • What's the effect of limited minutes doled by differing perceptions of performance and effort in a blow-out loss ?  
  • When there is trouble, will the franchise channel Sean Spicer with a happy-happy-joy-joy press conference? (I suspect Paxson's already shutdown Gar's public performances).
Sustainable is measurable in how the team performs and reacts to losing. The coaches have to yank players, players have to accept responsibility when demoted and the team had better lose games within a competitive margin and play hard when getting blown out.

Tuesday, September 19, 2017

Doug Collins for the win

The hiring of Doug Collins is good news for Bulls fans looking to reboot the franchise and for those who think Gar Forman needs to be fired.  What I envision happening is a freer flow of information within the org or the outing of roadblocks to the flow and confrontation.  Doug Collins isn't going to suffer any fools nor care about office politics.

Bulls make surprise move in adding Doug Collins to management mix - Chicago Tribune
Collins also won't be replacing Forman, who ownership still backs despite vocal fans calling for his job as well as a reputation in some NBA circles for spin control over accountability.
"Doug will not be a decision-maker," Paxson said. "None of our roles have changed. Fred's our coach. Fred has had a phenomenal summer with our young players. Gar and I continue to be at the forefront of this organization."
In many ways, Collins will be tasked to replicate the success Jerry West had as a adviser with the Warriors. West is largely credited with helping nix an organization thought to trade Klay Thompson for Kevin Love.
First the Bulls are rebuilding so there are a multitude of decisions to make in this next year.  An advisor like Jerry West with GSW can play devils advocate and clearly Doug Collins is going to have opinions and share them.  Any decision will have to get past a review from Doug's perspective just as team personnel decisions had to get past Jerry West's scrutiny in Golden State.

Gar, as mentioned in this article and what I see first hand in recent press conferences, is a guy that uses platitudes and seems adverse to criticism and accepting responsibility.  I've seen this behavior with the old GSW President of Ops and it was toxic for the franchise.  While not evil, this behavior will squash dissent, debate, and creativity and lead to bad decisions and organizational dysfunction.  It took new ownership to fix the problem in GS.

The Bulls President is going to get a new perspective.  Doug's going to solicit and hear opinions from players, coaches and staff.  If there's something, he'll hear it and be able to evaluate and share.  While mercurial, he isn't a decision maker so his passion will be damped by the organization and his advisory role. He isn't involved with coaching so he will not abrade the players.

There's a role for Gar if he is part of a team that owns decisions as a unit.  In Golden State Riley, the GM, stayed on with new ownership and worked well but he wasn't autonomous and eventually Pete Meyer replaced him.

Sunday, September 03, 2017

Markkanen Mark.

From SBNation (but not Blog-A-Bull)

 Lauri Markkanen is Finland basketball's star. Bulls fans should be hyped.
Bulls fans are disappointed by the haul they received in June’s Jimmy Butler trade. That’s fair, as the Timberwolves just gave up an injured Zach LaVine, Kris Dunn and the pick that became Markkanen. But the 20-year-old has proven to be an unreal scorer so far. Maybe they should give him a chance. Through two games, he’s dropped 46 points on 18-of-28 shooting, and grabbed 14 boards. He’s made 5-of-8 from deep, and not all of those have come uncontested.
How’s Markkanen been scoring?
He’s been working an inside-out game we didn’t see all that much of at Arizona last season. Markkanen’s jumper has always been pure, but at Eurobasket, he’s shown he can put his seven-foot height and incredible length to use in the post. He’s used hook shots off the catch down low, and also blown by defenders off the dribble.

I saw Lauri hit a contested fade-away jumper during the final quarter against Slovenia.  It was a Dirk Nowitzki shot and it looked unstoppable.  While Lauri isn't Dirk, he's very tall, a coordinated dribbler, and a good shooter.  A fade-way jumper from this 7' player would be hard to stop.

Playing for Finland keeps Lauri from the Bulls but he's getting major minutes and, at age 19, has a leadership role for team Finland.  The experience and confidence he gains is invaluable.  The Bulls Coaches should be excited to have this kid when he returns.

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

Celtics passed on Butler ... For less?

538's assessment of the Celtics-Cavs trade.
He [Danny Ainge] spent the last year targeting All-NBA wings Jimmy Butler and Paul George but declined to include premium assets such as the exact draft pick he just sent to Cleveland. Seeing him now pull the trigger on Irving, a very good player who isn’t quite Butler or George, makes for good meme fodder, sure. Butler and George both went for cheap, but both also went for packages that catered specifically to the teams dealing them (the Bulls) really like Kris Dunn, and new Pacer Victor Oladipo played his college ball at Indiana)
If Ainge had a time machine would he revisit not trading for Jimmy Butler given what he gave for Irving or is Jimmy's age and mileage too high?  Irving is younger.
I am also very curious about Kris Dunn playing for Hoiberg. There's a lot riding on this kid's development.

Wednesday, August 16, 2017

Don't Learn How To Lose.

A rebuilding team doesn't make national TV but this season is very important.  The Bulls can't afford to waste this year.

Here are the goals:
NBA - By coming in last in Summer Forecast, the Chicago Bulls are right where they want to be
The Bulls could learn a tanking lesson from the other professional sports team that Jerry Reinsdorf owns in town, the Chicago White Sox. They've competed hard in games while continuing to rack up losses. They've spent the year dealing away proven assets for prospects with possibly huge futures. Bulls head coach Fred Hoiberg knows he's in for a challenging season, but he can rehabilitate his own image within the league if he can get this unproven group to play hard on a nightly basis even in defeat. As tough as the losses might be to stomach for players, coaches and fans, strengthening your ability to land players like Porter or Bagley is much more important than trying to earn more wins in another lost season.   
  1. Establish play within a system  
  2. Develop players within that system (1)   
  3. Compete hard and consistently according to (1) and (2)   
  4. Lose without compromising goals (1-3)

Failure is possible.  The rebuilding 1999+ Chicago Bulls lost so badly under Tim Floyd that inexperienced Vinny Del Negro accepted the job when Floyd was fired.  Minnesota went 14 years without a playoff appearance, racked up top picks and proceeded to go 31-51 under a top coach, Thibs.  He quickly traded that young potential for Jimmy Butler and spent his $$ signing familiar veterans. 

Rebuilding the Bulls has happen quickly.  The ideal is one year to land a top 1-5 pick and spend 2018 money on a top free agent.

Tuesday, August 15, 2017

2018 Draft Class

Weeks before the 2017 Preseason and it is already time to look ahead to the 2018 NBA draft.

The Bulls want to rebuild which means playing their young roster, keeping long term salary cap clear and resting injured players. 

Their reward is a team that competes hard, plays their coach's philosophy of BB and develops players all while losing 50+ games.  "Success" means they further develop their players, protect $ to sign a top free agent and get lucky to land a 1-5 draft pick in 2018.


The Bernstein Brief: Bulls Catch A Potential Break « CBS Chicago
(CBS)
That Bulls plan got a boost from the decision by Marvin Bagley III to accelerate his graduation from high school to hasten his ascent to college and the pros, reclassifying into the 2017 class to play this year for Duke.

[the] 2018 draft ... already includes potential stars like Missouri forward Michael Porter Jr., Texas center Mohamed Bamba, Slovenian swingman Luka Doncic and Arizona center DeAndre Ayton.

The Bulls’ odds of being in that group are strong — that’s the whole point of the exercise right now...


Here's to a season for a high draft pick and cap space.

Sunday, August 06, 2017

Lauri Markkanen (Doug McDermott V2.0)

With the #7 Pick in the NBA draft, the Chicago Bulls select Lauri Markkanen from the U of Arizona Wildcats.

As I see it, the Bulls once again traded up to get a tall, high percentage perimeter shooter.  They did this very thing in 2014 selecting 6' 8" Doug McDermott #11.  I also see a bit of this shooting skill in the 2015 drafting of Bobby Portis, a 6' 11" PF from Arkansas at #22.

Now McDermott is gone via trade, never fulfilling expectations and subsequently a bust to most Chicago fans. The Bulls gave up mid-level draft picks to move up to select McDermott.  Bobby Portis is TBD. He has avoided the bust label but expectations are this 3rd year player should contribute on a rebuilding Bulls team.

Markkanen is not explosively athletic and there are indicative stats like blocks and steals per game that underwhelm.  Some criticize his physical limitations; shortish arm length, thin build and lack of explosiveness and they see a weak NBA defender.  Most players don't become stars so these are safe criticisms to levy at a 19 year old PF/C.  Odds are against any #7 pick.

He is, however, 7' and coordinated and, as a freshman, carried the Wildcats into the NCAA tournament.  With  a sports and basketball pedigree and good work habits he stands out.  It's reported Lauri as a 10 year old practiced 4 hours a day and to this day he always talks about basketball.
Markkanen was born into a family of athletes, but his drive and dedication are the main reasons why he has excelled in his freshman season with the Wildcats. -SI
His father is a pessimist, not at all like Lonzo Ball's Dad.  Father worries about injury and didn't want to celebrate until Lauri got drafted and even then he worries.
“I don’t know, we’ll see how it goes. I’m just hoping they find a team for Lauri that he gets an opportunity to play, not be a player from 8 to 12. He has to be the best seven or eight players so he has time to show what he is capable of. - Dad
The Bulls are a good fit.  They need outside shooting and will dole out minutes for rookie development and better odds to land a top 4 pick in the 2018 draft.

Today I'd rank Markkanen as the 4th option at center behind Lopez, Felicio and Portis and he is the 3rd option at PF, behind Mirotic and Portis.  Markkanen might play at SF which would rank him 3rd behind Holiday and Zipser.  The Bulls could play him at SF along side their defensive guards, Nwada and Dunn.

Chicago has a philosophy that depends on floor spacing and seeks a high percentage shooter that can't easily be blocked.  They wanted this from McDermott, and Mirotic.  Neither satisfy with McDermott gone and Mirotic in a RFA contract hold out wanting more money.  Now the Bulls expect this from Lauri Markkanen.  It's a reasonable expectation. If he meets it, then the Bulls hit on their draft.

Sunday, July 02, 2017

Trade: Carter-Williams for Snell

The Winner is Tony Snell.
Milwaukee Bucks re-sign Tony Snell to open NBA free agency
Snell, seldom used in three seasons with the Bulls, looked likely to stay glued to the bench had he stayed in Chicago. The Bucks had other plans for Snell, especially with Khris Middleton out six months with a torn left hamstring,

They inserted Snell into the starting lineup immediately and left him there all season. Snell started all 80 regular-season games in which he played and became an integral two-way player. He averaged 8.5 points, 3.1 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game while shooting 45.5% overall and 40.6% from three-point range. His 58.8% effective field-goal percentage — a value in which three-point shooting carries added weight — was the best on the team.

Additionally, Snell was tasked with guarding the opposing team's best wing player each night. Taking on the likes of LeBron James, Paul George and Kawhi Leonard eased the pressure on his teammates, including Giannis Antetokounmpo and Middleton when he returned, allowing them to save their energy for running the floor and creating on the offensive end.

"It was a big trade because that's somebody that we knew that could fit and we wanted," Kidd said in March. "He's getting the opportunity to play and he's taken full advantage of that. He enjoys playing both ends of the floor."

...

Carter-Williams, a former rookie of the year, never found the right fit in Milwaukee over 1 1/2 seasons. He didn't find that in Chicago, either, as the Bulls recently became the first team to decline to offer a qualifying offer to a former rookie of the year at the end of his rookie contract.


The Bulls selected Tony Snell who never fit in with the team and admitted he lost confidence.  Playing in Milwaukee, Snell became a key player and their best two way player.

Friday, June 30, 2017

Bulls waive Rondo

Chicago Bulls waive point guard Rajon Rondo
CHICAGO -- The Bulls announced Friday they have waived veteran point guard Rajon Rondo. Rondo had a team option worth more than $13 million that would have become fully guaranteed had the Bulls not waived him by Friday's deadline. As it stands, the Bulls are on the hook for a $3 million guarantee still owed to Rondo.
Rajon was a one year rental.  Healthy, he made the playoff Bulls competitive against the Celtics. He's also volatile.  At $13 million, in a rebuilding, year a playoff berth is a stretch.  With more downside than upside, waiving him is the right choice.  There's more minutes for Dunn.





 




Tuesday, November 01, 2016

Blow out in Brooklyn

The Bulls won their first road game in the first quarter against what is considered an average to below average team, the Nets.  They built up the lead every quarter for a blow out win. 

This is what good teams do, they put an opponent away early and rest their starters.  Offering starters rest in the 4th Q while winning should keep this team healthy going into the winter.

You could not ask for a more ideal start albeit its just three games.   

Sunday, October 30, 2016

2-0 and rightfully so.

The Bulls, projected to be a 43 win team, are 2-0 after beating two Eastern Conference teams, Boston and Indiana.  Both opponents were on the backside of back-to-back games.  This start is good and to be expected for a Bulls team projected to win 43 games.

The Bulls took 1st period leads in both games, and won according to how they were put together in the off-season; they moved the ball on offense, shot well and out rebounded their opponents. They ran when it was opportunistic and defended. Surprisingly they shot the 3pt well.

Chicago plays on the road in Brooklyn, then at Boston. The Knickerbockers come to Chicago and then Chicago travels to Indiana the next day for a back-to-back. 

Winning one of the three road games and beating the Knicks at home (2-2) would be par.  Chicago beating The Knicks and then Indiana the following day would be superb.

Tuesday, July 19, 2016

Winning

Rajon Rondo attends Bulls summer league.   

Dwayne Wade, in China, tweets recognition to first round pick Valentine after the Bulls win their Summer league series on Valentine's last second overtime shot.

For this rebuilding team, caring and winning matter.  Wade is there to set a standard.  Rajon too.  I think their actions show they understand.   Let's see how this attitude plays out going into Feburary.

Update:
With a projected 43 win season, the Bulls should be about .500 in Feburary and competing for the 8th playoff spot.

That's where these two veteran free agents should have this team.  

Saturday, July 09, 2016

2016-17 Bulls forecast

16 wins and 66 losses. That's 538's forecast for a NBA team with minimum salary players.

Using NBA salary data, 538 calculates $2.6 million as the value of a win over the league baseline.  That is the price for talent that will give a team an edge and a win. It would factor into assessing a free agent's salary. 

41 wins is the league average.  

The team goal is to spend money on better than minimum salary players to get wins over the NBA baseline and hopefully over the NBA average of 41.

To evaluate a player, 538 created a "Wins Above Replacement projection" WAR measurement to assess the number of wins a player is forecast to add to a minimum team's seasonal win total. Each WAR over zero is a win added to the team's 16 win baseline. 

A high WAR number means the player contributes more to the win total and can be compensated more.  538 set a win's value at 2.6 M per win.  That price creates a way to evaluate a team salary and player contracts but that's another topic.

The Bulls backcourt has some aging stars. Their WAR tells us what will they contribute in 2016.  We can total each player's WAR for a team forecast.

SG Dwayne Wade is forecast to produce 3 wins above a minimum replacement (3 WAR) player.

PG Rajon Rondo is also forecast to produce 3 wins above the minimum.

SF Jimmy Butler is forecast to produce 7 wins or WAR

That's a backcourt generating 13 wins over the baseline.

Front court  C Robin Lopez WAR is 4 and PF Taj Gibson has a WAR of 4.

Key rotation player Nikola Mirotic is a WAR of 4.  Denzel Valentine. the rookie, is projected with a WAR for 2 his first year. 

Doug McDremott, Bobby Portis and Tony Snell project to add nothing at best. Doug and Snell maybe play a bit under the average minimum NBA player.

Total Bull's WAR is 27. Add it to the 16 wins projected for a replacement player team, or baseline, yeilds 43.

The roster isn't set but salary cap is limited so assume any other player they add will be a minimum baseline player (WAR=0) which adds nothing to the team's seasonal WAR.

Note: T'wane Moore who left the Bulls is a 0 WAR player.  

Can these guys play together ? The WAR metric doesn't care.  

Isn't Wade a scrappy veteran capable of winning a critical game ? Yes and WAR factors that character and veteran benefit into the WAR score.

A 43 wins Bulls team is one more win than last year.  It's one win less than the 8th seeded team which slid into the playoffs with 44 wins.

43-39 Should put us right where we were at the 2016 NBA draft.

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Deng to LA Lakers

Loul Deng signed with LA Lakers.   He's an older player now but hard work pays off. 

The Lakers added a hard working veteran to anchor a young roster.

Kobe is gone.   It's Deng's team.


Who's on first?


Hoiberg insists  he can work with Bulls All-Star Butler

Called out by Jimmy Butler last season, Chicago Bulls coach Fred Hoiberg insisted Monday that he can still work with the two-time All-Star guard.

This headline is troubling.  Jimmy Butler played successfully for one coach and his game wasn't fully compatible with his team's all-star point guard.  Hoiberg isn't the only one needing to show he can work with a team.

As an example, Golden State moved hybrid PG/SG Monta Ellis and drafted the taller Klay Thompson to play next to Steph Curry as a SG/SF.  Under both Jackson and Kerr, both players figured a way to move the ball and work together to win a championship and set NBA win record.

Jimmy Butler will need to find a way to work within a more dynamic offense.  That's the NBA right game now and it's up to Bulter to figure a way to fit into Hoiberg's offense.  Isolation plays are for stat hounds and LeBron James.

Rose was sent packing and it's time for Butler to respond.



Monday, June 27, 2016

Jimmy Butler, Olympian


Daily Herald:
Bulls guard Jimmy Butler made the cut. He'll join Kevin Durant, Carmelo Anthony, Kyrie Irving, Paul George, DeMarcus Cousins, DeAndre Jordan, Kyle Lowry, DeMar DeRozan and three members of the Golden State Warriors -- Klay Thompson, Draymond Green and Harrison Barnes."http://www.dailyherald.com/article/20160627/sports/160629145/

The NBA season is long but not as long for Jimmy Butler who missed the playoffs.

DeMarcus Cousins aside, it's a good collection of players and good for Jimmy to play this summer.

Wednesday, October 28, 2015

Game 2: Bulls beat Brooklyn Nets

115-110 Bulls win.
All five Bulls' starters scored in double digits.



Bulls edge Cleveland.

This NBA season snuck up like a trick or treater.

Chicago's treat was a a win over Cleveland.  The trick was played on Lebron James, a blocked shot.

Credit late game Defense for the win.  Holberg's Bulls are a cipher.



Thursday, August 20, 2015

Irrational Exhuberance


It's the dog days of August for Bulls fans. Time to speculate how this team will do in the upcoming season. This article caught my eyWhy the Chicago Bulls will NOT make the playoffs  and first thought "trolling", but a negative outlook is just as rational as a positive one so let's look at the playoff competition and  a few underrated players on the Bulls roster.


First we read the Pacers will finish ahead of the Bulls for spot #8. The Pacers get George back and really, if he were Rose coming back from an injury we'd be thinking he's not 100% so George isn't going be 100%. Furthermore, with recent changes to the pacers roster, he's going to playing agisnt bigger players at PF.   
" That means playing George at power forward, even though he had achieved his success with Indiana while playing at small forward." 
Pacers signing Monta Ellis is not that big a boost. As a Warriors fan since '91 I've seen Monta rack up the stats and take bad shot after shot.  The W's brought in Jerry West and he quickly shipped Ellis off and they've been better at the guard positions since.  

There is no reason to think the Celtics at #7 are going to be better than the Bulls excpet that Coach is squeezing more than expected out of the roster.  
How far the Celtics go under Stevens will come down to the talent they manage to acquire. Clever schemes can't make up for lacking stars that can elevate a team's ceiling on their own. What is crystal clear even now, is that Boston is still trying to find that elite player, and in just two years Stevens has established himself as one of the best coaches in the league, and the Celtics greatest asset.
How did the 2015 draft go ?
The Celtics tried to trade up to draft Kelly Oubre but couldn't work out a deal, according to Sporting News' Sean Deveney. This latest report only seems to confirm the terrible, terrible draft night the Celtics had.
Ainge had draft pick assets he wanted to use to trade up but had no takers so he drafted best players and now has some players to trade.  He's first pick was a surprise, another back court player.  That's not a team headed to the playoffs.

So that's two playoff spots the Bulls should land given the returning roster.


What about that Bulls roster?

Let's address Dunleavy since I'm a Warriors fan by geography and watched that franchise select him 3rd in the NBA draft.  First, Dunleavy never fit in.  He was loathed by Golden State fans.  Too slow and cannot defend. Well a guy that plays too slow who sticks in the NBA for knowing the game isn't going to lose much when he's older.  He's developed a skill set and role that doesn't depend on speed. Another year isn't going to diminish his game.  Having him with his shooting skill for the low cost they paid is a big plus.

Kirk Hinrich is a veteran PG SG which I think is needed for a playoff run. Did they over pay to keep him? No.  He's another steal for the current market and a veteran that can help a first year coach.  So that's another player they are fortunate to have kept.

Noah and Gibson are 30 and supposed to have an age related drop off.  Well LeBron James is 30 and more reliant on athleticism. Any one heard about him dropping off his game in 2015? Furthermore the front court players can play longer as they age.  A 30 year old Center/PF isn't dropping off as much as a 30 year old SF/SG.

A lot depends on how much Nikola Mirotic, Tony Snell and Doug McDermott play. Of course these are first round draft picks so it goes without saying they all need to contribute. That's the same for any team. Rookie Bobby Portis might even help out the front court.

Rose should be healthier and his wingman Jimmy Butler tells us this offseason he added PG skills. If true then the Bulls have a LeBron light. If not then the Bulls resigned a defender for James and scorer.





Saturday, July 11, 2015

Do something!

Free agency time and the Bulls are bringing back the team. Jimmy Butler returns at a much higher salary.   

Fans want the Bulls to do something but what?

The Chicago Bulls have drafted well and now have to pay to keep their talent.  Their strength has been depth and now they have to develop and use it more than they have.

A new Coach must find ways to give players enough court time and get more out of a pretty familiar roster. 

Nothing is guaranteed until games are played but Tony Snell has shown he can defend and shoot threes. McBuckets should bounce back from his injury last season and develop confidence in his shot.  Old man Kirk Hinrich will back along with Mike Dunleavy.  Both return at a bargain compared to what the market is paying free agents. Guard  E'Twaun Moore will have to contribute as an alternative PG backup to Hinrich.

Cliche here and there 

I like the team chemistry and work ethic and really see them improving under Hoiberg.  

No free agency magic.  They have the squad and players will have to improve the old fashion way.  Practice.

 

Awful Tribune

Steve Rosenbloom needs to find a new job.



Saturday, May 02, 2015

Fare Well Tim Duncan

X-Golden-State Warrior Matt Barnes played free safety tonight and deflected a Spurs' alley-Opp pass in the final second of play in the seven game of the series. 

That deflection sent the Spurs home for the season. The Clippers move to round two. 

The final game of the best of seven is possibly the last time we see Tim Duncan in uniform.  

As exciting as the game was with multiple lead changes in the fourth quarter, I expected more. 

Duncan accomplished so much in this era of superstars.  He needs to be remembered for what he didn't say in the media as much as what he achieved.  

This Clippers victory also marks the first time we see a red face Steve Balmer cheering from the sidelines during the playoffs.  Ugh! 


Mike Dunleavy


Watching Chicago Bulls Mike Dunleavy play against Milwaukee in game 6 reminded me of his tenure with the Warriors.

Mike was the third pick and never lived up to expectations.  When it came time to resign him, GM Chris Mullen signed Mike to a generous contract to lock him into the team.  That was it.  

Fans of the chronically dysfunction franchise soured on Mike.  He was criticized for bring slow and soft and awkward and etc. 
Check it out here.
How the Warriors remember Mike Dunleavy

He's still slow but effective.  He's not soft.  He's tough and no talker.  Dunleavy got under the Bucks' skin and helped turn the 6th game into a rout. He kept his cool and stayed in the game while contributing 20 points.

Coach Don Nelson wanted Dunleavy at PF and did the usual roster gimmicks putting Mike in and out of rotation.  Coach Thibs seems to have found a way to use a much older Mike and win.  




Wednesday, August 07, 2013

TNT on Tuesday


TNT will tip off the NBA season Oct. 29 with the defending champion Miami Heat celebrating last year's title against the Chicago Bulls, who will return with star Derrick Rose after more than a year's absence.

Monday, July 29, 2013

Sam a Bull


Sam Smith looks forward to the NBA's 2013-14 season | THE OFFICIAL SITE OF THE CHICAGO BULLS
Warriors: If Andrew Bogut is healthy... yes, we hear that a lot. But he stands the best chance of being so this season as it's his contract year. The Andre Iguodala move is questionable given they had to let go Jarrett Jack and Carl Landry, who were key players off the bench and especially in their three-guard play. The theory with Iguodala appears to be he can play point forward and free Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson to play off the ball as neither looks to pass much. They talk now about a shot at the top of the West, and that move should determine it. But if Bogut does give them that inside game they could take a big jump up the Western Conference ladder.
"Assists per 48 minutes"is a ESPN stat.

The top ranked SG is .... Iguodala. He has the most Asists normalized for 48 minutes played.  The only other non-PG ahead of Iguodala is Lebron James. 

Jack "The Indispensable" and Curry "The Ball-hog" are about tied.  Unfortunately for Jack, Curry also plays SG, (that's so he can shoot 3pt shots which he does very well and at the coach's urging). Jack is on the floor feeding Curry and Klay who moves to SF.  So Jack's got two sharp shooters pumping the stats.  Curry has Klay and rookie Barnes on the floor.

Curry's stats are for the PG and SG position. Jack is primiarly at PG.  That makes Curry the better PG as measured by assists since he plays that position less than full time.  Anyone following the team would know Curry is creative passer as PG, and that Jack at PG has to shoot or penetrate and shoot given Curry and Thompson are heavily covered. 

For assist per game (regardless of minutes played) Curry is ranked 12th for all PGs - not so bad. Again that's for his minutes at PG and SG compared to all PGs.

So it's complicated and basically Sam is being Sam.

Acquiring an injured Bogut tanked the season and gave the W's the pick which produced Harrison Barnes and eventually the trade that landed the 30th pick for Festus (center). It also sent Ellis packing and freed minutes for Klay and Curry.  If Bogut never plays again the trade worked out for the Ws.

"Personal slight" at work is not personal.

I don't know if Adams was let go over a personal slight. It is not definitive AFAIK, why he was not renewed. 

I do know most of us would not be retained if we slighted our boss or boss's boss, aka the GM.  It's not personal when it's a disagreement with your boss. It's professional so I have a beef with Kelly Dewer's comment:

Whatever happened behind the scenes between Adams and the Chicago front office had to be so severe that the team was willing to cut loose one of this league’s great basketball minds in order to avenge a personal slight. Of course, this can’t possibly be enough – because no amount of behind the scenes carping and complaining should be enough for a team to let Ron Adams walk.

No amount of carping by an assistant coach is going to sway a front office so why bother?  It just undermines authority to "go after" your boss's decisions.

If Adams was speaking candidly about the roster or front office decisions, that second guessing the organization would have been enough to warrant not bringing him back. Adams was not fired, he was not renewed.

Saturday, July 27, 2013

Who can take a Rainbow ..?


The Camby Man.
The Camby Man can.

Bulls and Rockets are in the running for Marcus Camby.
Internet tells me he lives in Houston. Texas does not have a income tax.  Hmmmm.

Rockets a ‘leading contender’ to land Marcus Camby once he becomes a free agent | ProBasketballTalk
“It’s his adopted hometown. It’s premature right now. We’ll see what happens in the next few days”
If Camby picks the Bulls it will be for the shot at The Title and Camby recognizes Dwight Howard's an uncompetitive flake. 

Thursday, July 25, 2013

Game , Set, Match and Cake

Really?!
What's with the rocket science analysis on why Dunleavy is an upgrade ?

Why Chicago Bulls Will Be Better Next Season | Bleacher Report

The Bulls addressed their needs this offseason, and Rose is icing on the cake, but how exactly will these improvements make them an elite team again?

The NBA MVP returns.  Rose is the Cake.

The Bestest

Derrick Rose of Chicago Bulls says he is best player in NBA - ESPN Chicago
When asked by CNN's Pedro Pinto in an interview who the best player in the NBA is right now, the former MVP did not hesitate with his answer.

"Derrick Rose," the 24-year-old said confidently.

The fact that Rose responded that way won't surprise those close to him. Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau and general manager Gar Forman both said recently that the star point guard is feeling great and is ready to start the season.
 

Sunday, July 21, 2013

Shoot well

Conventional wisdom sez Derrick Rose and Jimmy Butler need shooters to spread defenses and let them get to the basket.

...if Rose’s extensive work on his jumper while he recovered last season manifests itself and Butler continues to make strides as a long-range marksman, there’s no reason to believe defenders won’t have to play them honestly, as well as contend with the duo’s shared athleticism, especially in transition. 

Or maybe not.